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Duke Energy — AI supply-chain exposure

Duke Energy · DUK· Energy· United States· $101B mkt cap
The quick read

The model reads Duke Energy primarily as a producer in Energy. Its strongest structural lever is Grid capacity (system bottleneck #6), which it produces or supplies — genuine pricing power. Its largest modeled sensitivity is a shock at Transformer availability (constraint β 19).

46
Chain weight /100
3
Parts exposed
2
Layers spanned
1
Bottlenecks owned
Duke Energy across the stack
EnergyInfrastructure

The structural read · model-generated

The model reads Duke Energy primarily as a producer in Energy. Its strongest structural lever is Grid capacity (system bottleneck #6), which it produces or supplies — genuine pricing power. Its largest modeled sensitivity is a shock at Transformer availability (constraint β 19).

In depth · editorial + model · written 2026-07-13

Duke Energy is a regulated utility across the Carolinas and Midwest, and its relevance to AI is simple: data centres cannot run without power, and Duke owns the grid capacity in territories where hyperscalers want to build. It is fielding a wave of interconnection requests from large computing campuses alongside carbon-free supply deals, placing it as a producer at the true base of the chain — the electricity that everything above it consumes.

Its structural position comes from being a gatekeeper rather than a merchant. A hyperscaler cannot simply buy more power; it must connect where the grid has spare capacity and where the utility can build transmission, and that queue is long and regulated. Duke's leverage is control of scarce interconnection and generation in fast-growing regions. The model gives it a modest weight because power is upstream and substitutable across regions, but where compute clusters, the grid becomes the binding constraint.

Chain footprint by layer

Energy
67%
Infrastructure
33%

How it participates

Producer
33%
Services
33%
Supplier
33%

Critical materials it leans on

Enriched Uranium (HALEU)High-voltage cable & XLPE insulationUranium enrichment capacity (SWU)Grain-oriented electrical steel (GOES)Rare-earth magnets (NdFeB)

Geographic concentration

Texas — ERCOT GridCentral Ohio (New Albany / Columbus)Northern Virginia (Ashburn / Loudoun)Ireland — Dublin Hyperscale ClusterSaskatchewan (Athabasca Basin)

Frequently asked

What is Duke Energy's role in the AI supply chain?

The model reads Duke Energy primarily as a producer in Energy. Its strongest structural lever is Grid capacity (system bottleneck #6), which it produces or supplies — genuine pricing power. Its largest modeled sensitivity is a shock at Transformer availability (constraint β 19).

Which parts of the AI value chain is Duke Energy exposed to?

Duke Energy is mapped to 3 parts of the AI value chain, most strongly Grid capacity, AI buildout risk, Power purchase agreement. It sits primarily in the Energy layer as a producer.

Does Duke Energy own an AI bottleneck?

Yes — the model places Duke Energy on 1 binding node (Grid capacity), where it produces or supplies a constrained part, giving it genuine pricing power.

What is Duke Energy's biggest AI supply-chain risk?

Its largest modeled sensitivity is a shock at Transformer availability (constraint β 19). 6 nodes depend on it; pressure 91/100

Who are Duke Energy's closest peers by AI-chain position?

By shared chain dependencies: Southern Company, Sempra, Constellation Energy, NextEra Energy.

Go live on Duke Energy

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model v0.7.0 · research, not advice

Chain analytics are illustrative, order-of-magnitude estimates from our model of the AI value chain — not investment advice. Market cap sourced 2026-07-04.

as of 2026-07-17Medium confidence model v0.7.0
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